Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021782 0.023403 0.025092 0.026983 0.029046 0.031229 0.033716
2024-10-20 0.018697 0.020974 0.023468 0.026412 0.029801 0.033594 0.038177
2024-10-27 0.017074 0.019788 0.022880 0.026678 0.031243 0.036583 0.043346
2024-11-03 0.015743 0.018728 0.022234 0.026685 0.032225 0.038950 0.047812
2024-11-10 0.014851 0.018066 0.021946 0.027013 0.033520 0.041681 0.052826
2024-11-17 0.013822 0.017135 0.021223 0.026694 0.033909 0.043219 0.056338
2024-11-24 0.013030 0.016430 0.020714 0.026575 0.034496 0.044990 0.060217
2024-12-01 0.012241 0.015670 0.020069 0.026209 0.034693 0.046204 0.063360
2024-12-08 0.011704 0.015202 0.019767 0.026262 0.035432 0.048168 0.067658
2024-12-15 0.011077 0.014572 0.019205 0.025911 0.035561 0.049251 0.070710
2024-12-22 0.010455 0.013913 0.018563 0.025398 0.035411 0.049894 0.073110
2024-12-29 0.009980 0.013432 0.018138 0.025162 0.035631 0.051071 0.076377
2025-01-05 0.009526 0.012962 0.017709 0.024902 0.035808 0.052203 0.079679
2025-01-12 0.009012 0.012384 0.017099 0.024341 0.035491 0.052549 0.081724
2025-01-19 0.008774 0.012189 0.017027 0.024573 0.036395 0.054839 0.087122
2025-01-26 0.008487 0.011909 0.016817 0.024577 0.036932 0.056564 0.091680
2025-02-02 0.008301 0.011767 0.016801 0.024874 0.037944 0.059109 0.097833
2025-02-09 0.007972 0.011397 0.016424 0.024584 0.037983 0.060032 0.101162
2025-02-16 0.007710 0.011117 0.016172 0.024476 0.038307 0.061444 0.105468
2025-02-23 0.007409 0.010766 0.015793 0.024145 0.038235 0.062162 0.108525
2025-03-02 0.007217 0.010574 0.015654 0.024193 0.038803 0.064022 0.113872
2025-03-09 0.006951 0.010256 0.015303 0.023874 0.038719 0.064711 0.116995
2025-03-16 0.006666 0.009899 0.014876 0.023408 0.038352 0.064862 0.119055